APO · NYSE · STOCK
Apollo Global Management (APO) Stock Analysis
$132.17
52W $99.56 – $153.29
49/100
$76.48B
28.7
1.51
Is APO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Apollo Global Management (APO) Watch with a composite score of 49/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.83 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.17 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.04 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 26.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 74.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- EPS declining -68.2% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.04 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 19.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
49/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 94%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 74.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 26.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -68.2% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.04 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
− News sentiment is negative (-0.33 across 86 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.2 to 49.2.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.439
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$127.56
Resistance
$136.51
Bollinger %B
0.55
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$133.42
Below
EMA 21
$131.40
Above
EMA 50
$128.39
Above
EMA 200
$127.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
70
Growth
69
Profitability
52
Financial Health
96
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.7×
P/B Ratio
3.74×
PEG Ratio
-2.01
Dividend Yield
1.62%
52W High
$153.29
52W Low
$99.56
Quality & Growth
ROE
1496.1%
ROA
75.8%
Gross Margin
8445.2%
Operating Margin
2413.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; PEG ratio of -2.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.0%; Return on assets of 0.8%; Net margin of 5.2%; Gross margin of 84.5%; Current ratio of 3.21 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.49); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-21.5% -> +8.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 9.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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