ARES · NYSE · STOCK
Ares Management (ARES) Stock Analysis
$139.59
52W $95.80 – $186.85
52/100
$45.98B
61.1
1.51
Is ARES Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Ares Management (ARES) Watch with a composite score of 52/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 25, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.81 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.19 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 38.5% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 53.7 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 38.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 29.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 21 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 53.7 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 8.2x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.17 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 25, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait
− P/E of 53.7 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 38.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.17) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 21 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3063.01)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.2 to 52.2.
Comparing 2026-08-24 to 2026-08-25 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.513
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$139.26
Resistance
$140.74
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$140.91
Below
EMA 21
$137.53
Above
EMA 50
$131.51
Above
EMA 200
$134.01
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
15
Growth
49
Profitability
57
Financial Health
1
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
61.1×
P/B Ratio
7.99×
PEG Ratio
2.13
Dividend Yield
3.53%
52W High
$186.85
52W Low
$95.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
1233.5%
ROA
181.9%
Gross Margin
6268.9%
Operating Margin
2318.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.75
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 61.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.0x; PEG ratio of 2.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 12.3%; Return on assets of 1.8%; Net margin of 10.0%; Gross margin of 62.7%; Current ratio of 0.83 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.75; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.69); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 2.3%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-14.5% -> +4.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 25.2%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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