NASDAQ · STOCK
Ares Management
$121.70
52W $95.80 – $195.26
47/100
$26.20B
42.1
1.54
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 40% agreement on a bearish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 40% agreement on a bearish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst: 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Higher Highs / Higher Lows structure confirms bullish price action.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.162) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
- Fundamental score is weak (28.1/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Growth Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 30.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
47.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.162
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$112.87
Resistance
$137.87
Bollinger %B
0.38
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$117.86
Above
EMA 21
$120.14
Above
EMA 50
$121.50
Above
EMA 200
$134.43
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
0
Growth
63
Profitability
49
Financial Health
0
Valuation
P/E Ratio
42.1×
P/B Ratio
8.20×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
4.47%
52W High
$195.26
52W Low
$95.80
Quality & Growth
ROE
1454.0%
ROA
224.0%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
1771.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+3851.0%
Debt / Equity
3.17
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 42.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 38.5%; EPS growth (YoY) of 29.8%; Return on equity of 14.5%; Return on assets of 2.2%; Net margin of 10.5%; Current ratio of 0.30 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.17; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 9.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+21.8% -> -14.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.162) — bearish momentum.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Evening Star.
- Fundamental score is weak (28.1/100) — poor financial health or expensive valuation.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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