AUR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Analysis
$5.85
52W $3.60 – $8.57
53/100
$11.43B
-12.4
2.70
Is AUR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.78 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.22 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only -43.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -43.1% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 27.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.2 to 53.2.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
51.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.001
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$5.82
Resistance
$6.42
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$5.78
Above
EMA 21
$5.91
Below
EMA 50
$6.08
Below
EMA 200
$5.88
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
77
Growth
42
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-12.4×
P/B Ratio
5.90×
PEG Ratio
-9.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$8.57
52W Low
$3.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3813.1%
ROA
-3482.7%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
—
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.04
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -12.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.9x; PEG ratio of -9.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -38.1%; Return on assets of -34.8%; Net margin of -18000.0%; Gross margin of 7040.0%; Current ratio of 11.38 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.04; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.38); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 17.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+0.0% -> -27.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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