AXS · NYSE · STOCK
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
$100.75
52W $88.07 – $119.99
61/100
$7.35B
6.3
0.50
Is AXS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (AXS) Buy with a composite score of 61/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.57 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.43 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is rsi at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup). The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 6.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- ROE of 17.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 34.5% YoY — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.09 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 62%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
76
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 6.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 34.5% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 22 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.21) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.09 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 10 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
22.4
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.440
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$98.42
Resistance
$101.17
Bollinger %B
0.13
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$104.46
Below
EMA 21
$107.21
Below
EMA 50
$106.78
Below
EMA 200
$102.83
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Profitability
65
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
6.3×
P/B Ratio
1.14×
PEG Ratio
0.12
Dividend Yield
1.75%
52W High
$119.99
52W Low
$88.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
1587.2%
ROA
292.8%
Gross Margin
4450.8%
Operating Margin
1977.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 6.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.9%; Return on assets of 2.9%; Net margin of 18.0%; Gross margin of 44.5%; Current ratio of 12.44 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow per share is positive (31.28); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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