AXTI · NASDAQ · STOCK
AXT, Inc.
$73.76
52W $2.05 – $143.16
58/100
$3.74B
—
1.93
Is AXTI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AXT, Inc. (AXTI) Watch with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +2.37 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -17.63 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 94.1% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Bollinger bandwidth of 94.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 64%
of 284 Technology peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 94.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
4.237
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$1.86
Resistance
$142.97
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$69.52
Above
EMA 21
$64.36
Above
EMA 50
$68.47
Above
EMA 200
$54.16
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
15
Profitability
12
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
—
P/B Ratio
5.09×
PEG Ratio
14.42
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$143.16
52W Low
$2.05
Quality & Growth
ROE
-777.9%
ROA
-490.1%
Gross Margin
3218.4%
Operating Margin
309.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 3087.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.1x; PEG ratio of 14.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -7.8%; Return on assets of -4.9%; Net margin of 3.2%; Gross margin of 32.2%; Current ratio of 4.77 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.10; Free cash flow per share is negative (-0.46); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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