AZO · NYSE · STOCK
AutoZone (AZO) Stock Analysis
$2,940.01
52W $2730.65 – $4146.42
56/100
$47.99B
18.8
0.34
Is AZO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates AutoZone (AZO) Watch with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.39 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.61 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 249.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 19 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 38.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 9.80 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 9.80) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 249.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 38.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 9.80) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 19 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.6 to 55.6.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
62.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
13.583
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$2932.24
Resistance
$3050.50
Bollinger %B
0.92
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$2,878.46
Above
EMA 21
$2,883.02
Above
EMA 50
$2,937.95
Above
EMA 200
$3,221.96
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
75
Profitability
61
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.8×
P/B Ratio
-19.36×
PEG Ratio
3.84
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$4146.42
52W Low
$2730.65
Quality & Growth
ROE
-10281.0%
ROA
1189.4%
Gross Margin
5233.9%
Operating Margin
1830.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
-4.97
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of -19.4x; PEG ratio of 3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -102.8%; Return on assets of 11.9%; Net margin of 12.6%; Gross margin of 52.3%; Current ratio of 0.90 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of -4.97; Free cash flow per share is positive (68.08); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+37.8% -> +47.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 15.1%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Get the Full AZO Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →