KR · NYSE · STOCK
Kroger (KR) Stock Analysis
$56.28
52W $54.15 – $76.58
46/100
$34.52B
32.6
0.41
Is KR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kroger Company (KR) Watch with a composite score of 46/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 19, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +13.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -6.14 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -53.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 33.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 2.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.96 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -53.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 19, 2026
Overall Committee Score
46/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 100%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bearish
34
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait
− P/E of 33.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -53.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
bearish
39
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.96) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2974.99)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 46.1 to 46.1.
Comparing 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-19 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.006
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$54.16
Resistance
$63.57
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$56.66
Below
EMA 21
$57.23
Below
EMA 50
$58.96
Below
EMA 200
$63.51
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
57
Growth
54
Profitability
29
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.6×
P/B Ratio
5.34×
PEG Ratio
-0.61
Dividend Yield
2.56%
52W High
$76.58
52W Low
$54.15
Quality & Growth
ROE
1714.2%
ROA
203.4%
Gross Margin
2318.5%
Operating Margin
132.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.3x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.1%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 0.7%; Gross margin of 23.2%; Current ratio of 0.79 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.63; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.71); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.6%; EPS growth roughly steady (+21.9% -> +23.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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