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Kroger (KR) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated October 10, 2026
$61.63
52W $54.15 – $76.58
47/100
$37.76B
33.0
0.41
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
47/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+3.1%
-4.9%
0.64:1
Contested

Is KR Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Kroger Company (KR) Watch with a composite score of 47/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.42 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 48 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -53.1% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait — Value
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 48 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 33.2 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 6.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only 3.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 2.96 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • EPS declining -53.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
47/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 93%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst bearish
34 / 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
+ Dividend yield of 2.6% pays you to wait
− P/E of 33.2 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bearish
29 / 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -53.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
32 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.96) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
66 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 48 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 47.4 to 47.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
67.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.153
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$58.62
Resistance
$63.57
Bollinger %B
0.86
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$59.96 Above
EMA 21
$59.44 Above
EMA 50
$59.12 Above
EMA 200
$62.09 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
51
Growth
31
Profitability
29
Financial Health
0
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 33.0×
P/B Ratio 6.39×
PEG Ratio -0.62
Dividend Yield 2.34%
52W High $76.58
52W Low $54.15
Quality & Growth
ROE 1714.2%
ROA 203.4%
Gross Margin 2311.1%
Operating Margin 139.5%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 4.13
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.4x; PEG ratio of -0.6 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.1%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 0.7%; Gross margin of 23.1%; Current ratio of 0.70 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.13; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.75); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.1%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+23.4% -> -31.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 4.8%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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