NASDAQ · STOCK
Alibaba Group Holding
$111.13
52W $91.99 – $192.67
48/100
$234.91B
15.1
0.53
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 33% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 33% agreement on a bullish lean. Portfolio Manager: Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy. Growth Analyst: 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Weekly trend: uptrend.
- Daily downtrend but weekly uptrend — possible early reversal but not yet confirmed on the daily.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Growth Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 4 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 30.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bullish
75
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book is healthy enough that position-sizing here is a matter of stock selection, not portfolio constraints
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.171
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$103.71
Resistance
$117.80
Bollinger %B
0.65
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$100.82
Above
EMA 21
$105.70
Above
EMA 50
$116.26
Below
EMA 200
$132.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
15
Profitability
52
Financial Health
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
15.1×
P/B Ratio
1.92×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.05%
52W High
$192.67
52W Low
$91.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
1022.0%
ROA
563.0%
Gross Margin
3981.0%
Operating Margin
490.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+274.0%
Debt / Equity
0.25
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 15.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 2.7%; EPS growth (YoY) of -17.8%; Return on equity of 10.2%; Return on assets of 5.6%; Net margin of 10.3%; Gross margin of 39.8%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.25; Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
Key Risks
- Stochastic RSI (100.0) confirms overbought conditions.
- Daily trend is down — entering long positions against the trend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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