JD · NASDAQ · STOCK
JD.com (JD) Stock Analysis
$29.38
52W $24.51 – $36.86
58/100
$41.23B
18.3
0.36
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is JD Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates JD.com Inc. (JD) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.16 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.84 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.42 across 38 articles, 14d). Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -68.4% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- News sentiment is positive (+0.42 across 38 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- EPS declining -68.4% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 22.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -68.4% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.1% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.42 across 38 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 57.8.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
36.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.446
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$28.23
Resistance
$29.71
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$29.84
Below
EMA 21
$30.32
Below
EMA 50
$29.97
Below
EMA 200
$30.02
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
48
Profitability
19
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.3×
P/B Ratio
1.21×
PEG Ratio
-0.31
Dividend Yield
3.40%
52W High
$36.86
52W Low
$24.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
871.8%
ROA
282.2%
Gross Margin
1465.6%
Operating Margin
20.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.2x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 1.1%; Gross margin of 14.7%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (23.55); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 75.8%; EPS growth decelerating (+782.8% -> +145.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 152.9%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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