JD · NASDAQ · STOCK
JD.com (JD) Stock Analysis
$27.09
52W $24.51 – $35.06
57/100
$38.03B
16.7
0.32
Is JD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates JD.com Inc. (JD) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.17 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.83 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Value Analyst sees a compelling case — p/e of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -59.9% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 1.1x is a discount to asset value — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- EPS declining -59.9% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bearish
29
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -59.9% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.8 to 56.8.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
58.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.155
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$24.55
Resistance
$29.71
Bollinger %B
0.70
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$26.73
Above
EMA 21
$26.97
Above
EMA 50
$27.80
Below
EMA 200
$29.22
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
35
Profitability
19
Financial Health
64
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.7×
P/B Ratio
1.10×
PEG Ratio
-0.28
Dividend Yield
3.71%
52W High
$35.06
52W Low
$24.51
Quality & Growth
ROE
871.8%
ROA
282.2%
Gross Margin
1465.6%
Operating Margin
20.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.48
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.7 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.1x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.7%; Return on assets of 2.8%; Net margin of 1.1%; Gross margin of 14.7%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.48; Free cash flow per share is positive (23.55); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 12.0%; 5 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+782.8% -> +22.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 26.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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