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Sysco (SYY) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated October 10, 2026
$78.16
52W $68.19 – $91.85
52/100
$37.37B
21.3
0.64
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
52/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+0.8%
-7.1%
0.12:1
Contested

Is SYY Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Sysco Corporation (SYY) Watch with a composite score of 52/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.75 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.25 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 5.07) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 75.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 15.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Debt-to-equity of 5.07 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
  • EPS declining -2.1% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.07) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 73%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst neutral
50 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 75.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 15.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -2.1% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
30 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 5.07) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 52.2 to 52.2.

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
50.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.105
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$72.62
Resistance
$78.81
Bollinger %B
0.46
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.80 Above
EMA 21
$78.62 Below
EMA 50
$79.93 Below
EMA 200
$79.59 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
58
Growth
76
Profitability
43
Financial Health
20
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 21.3×
P/B Ratio 14.04×
PEG Ratio -9.98
Dividend Yield 2.79%
52W High $91.85
52W Low $68.19
Quality & Growth
ROE 6590.4%
ROA 618.7%
Gross Margin 1849.6%
Operating Margin 366.0%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 5.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 21.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.0x; PEG ratio of -10.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 65.9%; Return on assets of 6.2%; Net margin of 2.1%; Gross margin of 18.5%; Current ratio of 1.28 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 5.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.04); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.2%; EPS growth accelerating (-5.1% -> +62.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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