TJX · NYSE · STOCK
TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Analysis
$150.88
52W $132.01 – $170.00
62/100
$168.01B
29.5
0.62
Is TJX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates TJX Companies (TJX) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated August 18, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.12 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.88 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Positive signals support the current rating — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 59.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 16.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 18, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 34%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 59.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 29.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.9 to 61.9.
Comparing 2026-08-17 to 2026-08-18 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
32.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.694
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$148.43
Resistance
$159.41
Bollinger %B
0.10
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$155.70
Below
EMA 21
$156.39
Below
EMA 50
$156.60
Below
EMA 200
$152.71
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
40
Growth
53
Profitability
69
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
29.5×
P/B Ratio
16.37×
PEG Ratio
1.41
Dividend Yield
1.19%
52W High
$170.00
52W Low
$132.01
Quality & Growth
ROE
5391.6%
ROA
1536.0%
Gross Margin
3144.3%
Operating Margin
1239.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.36
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 29.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 16.4x; PEG ratio of 1.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 53.9%; Return on assets of 15.4%; Net margin of 9.4%; Gross margin of 31.4%; Current ratio of 1.14 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.36; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.89); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 15.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+11.7% -> -16.8% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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