TJX · NYSE · STOCK
TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Analysis
$140.42
52W $134.75 – $170.00
55/100
$155.22B
26.0
0.62
Is TJX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates TJX Companies (TJX) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.20 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.80 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- RSI at 14 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 57%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 14 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.0 to 54.8.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 50% to 40%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 68->82 (+14).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 58->35 (-22).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 54).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
14.3
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-1.931
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$138.29
Resistance
$145.49
Bollinger %B
-0.04
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$147.92
Below
EMA 21
$152.03
Below
EMA 50
$154.53
Below
EMA 200
$152.36
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
50
Growth
75
Profitability
70
Financial Health
43
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.0×
P/B Ratio
14.74×
PEG Ratio
1.15
Dividend Yield
1.29%
52W High
$170.00
52W Low
$134.75
Quality & Growth
ROE
5391.6%
ROA
1536.0%
Gross Margin
3208.8%
Operating Margin
1282.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.34
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.0 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 14.7x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 53.9%; Return on assets of 15.4%; Net margin of 9.7%; Gross margin of 32.1%; Current ratio of 1.15 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.34; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.26); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-16.8% -> +2.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 10.9%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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