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BILL · NYSE · STOCK

Bill Holdings (BILL) Stock Analysis

Technology Updated October 10, 2026
$44.83
52W $31.41 – $57.21
59/100
$4.46B
-390.5
1.14
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
59/100
Conviction: Contested · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+8.6%
-3.5%
2.48:1
Contested

Is BILL Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Bill Holdings (BILL) Buy with a composite score of 59/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.76 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.24 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value — Value
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • ROE of only -0.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.0x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only -0.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst bullish
77 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst bullish
61 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.15 across 13 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 57.9 to 59.2.

Analyst-level changes:
  • News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bullish; score 54->61 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
51.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.072
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$43.27
Resistance
$48.67
Bollinger %B
0.44
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.38 Above
EMA 21
$45.16 Below
EMA 50
$45.46 Below
EMA 200
$44.48 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Growth
95
Profitability
25
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio -390.5×
P/B Ratio 1.27×
PEG Ratio 0.17
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $57.21
52W Low $31.41
Quality & Growth
ROE -31.8%
ROA -11.0%
Gross Margin 8092.8%
Operating Margin 105.5%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -390.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.3x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.3%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -0.7%; Gross margin of 80.9%; Current ratio of 1.51 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.54; Free cash flow per share is positive (4.79); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 16.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+6.3% -> +23.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 58.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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