BMO · NYSE · STOCK
Bank of Montreal (BMO) Stock Analysis
$162.65
52W $119.84 – $187.22
57/100
$113.88B
18.9
1.12
Is BMO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Bank of Montreal (BMO) Watch with a composite score of 57/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +3.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -16.59 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 115.3% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Risk Analyst remains cautious — high leverage (debt-to-equity 2.88) amplifies downside in a stress scenario. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 5.3% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 115.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 2.88 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.88) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
57/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− Debt-to-equity of 2.88 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
83
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 115.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.88) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.5 to 56.6.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 33% to 50%.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: stance bearish->neutral; score 38->48 (+10).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.825
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$130.12
Resistance
$186.93
Bollinger %B
0.15
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$164.87
Below
EMA 21
$168.30
Below
EMA 50
$171.22
Below
EMA 200
$158.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
68
Growth
82
Profitability
44
Financial Health
14
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.9×
P/B Ratio
1.88×
PEG Ratio
2.51
Dividend Yield
2.88%
52W High
$187.22
52W Low
$119.84
Quality & Growth
ROE
989.1%
ROA
59.0%
Gross Margin
4557.0%
Operating Margin
1584.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.93
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of 2.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 9.9%; Return on assets of 0.6%; Net margin of 11.7%; Gross margin of 45.6%; Current ratio of 0.56 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.93; Free cash flow per share is positive (43.28); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+5.5% -> +7.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 22.6%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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