BOX · NYSE · STOCK
Box, Inc.
$32.84
52W $21.34 – $33.88
50/100
$4.55B
48.7
1.41
Is BOX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Box, Inc. (BOX) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +9.79 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -10.21 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Growth Analyst remains cautious — eps declining -45.6% yoy despite any revenue growth. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 63.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 36.9 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 18.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.29 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -45.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.29) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 97%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 63.2% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 36.9 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− EPS declining -45.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.29) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.107
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$30.44
Resistance
$33.78
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$32.26
Above
EMA 21
$31.08
Above
EMA 50
$29.16
Above
EMA 200
$27.97
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Profitability
53
Financial Health
11
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
48.7×
P/B Ratio
28.82×
PEG Ratio
-0.97
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$33.88
52W Low
$21.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3385.1%
ROA
655.3%
Gross Margin
7955.9%
Operating Margin
864.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
3.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 48.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 28.8x; PEG ratio of -1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -33.9%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 9.2%; Gross margin of 79.6%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 3.56; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.54); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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