BOX · NYSE · STOCK
Box (BOX) Stock Analysis
$36.40
52W $21.34 – $36.88
50/100
$5.04B
51.4
1.41
Is BOX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Box, Inc. (BOX) Watch with a composite score of 50/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +10.07 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -9.93 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 73.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 38.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 18.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.29 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- EPS declining -40.6% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- RSI at 77 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
50/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 95%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 73.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 38.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -40.6% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
51
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.29) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 49.9 to 49.9.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.9
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.328
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$30.44
Resistance
$38.79
Bollinger %B
0.89
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$35.13
Above
EMA 21
$34.39
Above
EMA 50
$33.23
Above
EMA 200
$30.04
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Growth
80
Profitability
53
Financial Health
61
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
51.4×
P/B Ratio
34.39×
PEG Ratio
-1.13
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$36.88
52W Low
$21.34
Quality & Growth
ROE
-3385.1%
ROA
655.3%
Gross Margin
7955.0%
Operating Margin
942.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.50
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 51.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 34.4x; PEG ratio of -1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -33.9%; Return on assets of 6.6%; Net margin of 9.4%; Gross margin of 79.5%; Current ratio of 1.06 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.50; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.75); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 0.5%; EPS growth accelerating (-24.5% -> +8.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 21.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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