BTDR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Stock Analysis
$9.64
52W $6.92 – $27.80
51/100
$2.25B
-4.8
2.56
Is BTDR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) Watch with a composite score of 51/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +8.52 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -11.48 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 127.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -54.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 25 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
51/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 92%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -54.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 127.7% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.91 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 51.9 to 51.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
24.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.229
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$8.44
Resistance
$15.62
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$10.51
Below
EMA 21
$10.97
Below
EMA 50
$11.36
Below
EMA 200
$12.39
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Growth
61
Profitability
15
Financial Health
27
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-4.8×
P/B Ratio
2.15×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$27.80
52W Low
$6.92
Quality & Growth
ROE
755.9%
ROA
233.9%
Gross Margin
47.1%
Operating Margin
-3442.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.77
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -4.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.6%; Return on assets of 2.3%; Net margin of -55.1%; Gross margin of 0.5%; Current ratio of 1.01 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.77; Free cash flow per share is negative (-8.50); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 7.5%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-262.5% -> +43.1% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full BTDR Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →