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BWA · NYSE · STOCK

BorgWarner (BWA) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical Updated September 20, 2026
$63.34
52W $40.50 – $78.82
59/100
$12.99B
31.3
1.10
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
59/100
Conviction: Moderate · 60% agreement · 5 analysts
+10.6%
-5.0%
2.12:1
Moderate

Is BWA Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates BorgWarner (BWA) Buy with a composite score of 59/100 , based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement. Last updated September 20, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.10 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

Positive signals support the current rating — eps growing 115.4% yoy. The committee sees sufficient evidence to maintain the constructive view.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • EPS growing 115.4% YoY — Growth
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
  • P/E of 31.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 27%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 31.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bullish
72 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 115.4% YoY
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 59.1 to 59.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
42.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.263
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$60.19
Resistance
$70.02
Bollinger %B
0.25
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$64.04 Below
EMA 21
$64.79 Below
EMA 50
$65.22 Below
EMA 200
$59.02 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
74
Growth
91
Profitability
15
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 31.3×
P/B Ratio 2.30×
PEG Ratio 0.28
Dividend Yield 1.07%
52W High $78.82
52W Low $40.50
Quality & Growth
ROE 509.0%
ROA 201.2%
Gross Margin 1947.2%
Operating Margin 508.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.3 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.3x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.1%; Return on assets of 2.0%; Net margin of 2.9%; Gross margin of 19.5%; Current ratio of 2.13 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.08); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-8.1% -> +14.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 17.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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