FIVE · NASDAQ · STOCK
Five Below (FIVE) Stock Analysis
$234.09
52W $137.77 – $263.88
67/100
$12.95B
20.8
0.99
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FIVE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Five Below (FIVE) Buy with a composite score of 67/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated September 20, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.48 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.52 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is revenue growing 25.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. The main limiting factor is price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 27.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 25.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 125.3% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
67/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 2%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.0x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
84
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 25.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.18 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.5 to 66.5.
Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
37.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.830
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$188.47
Resistance
$237.70
Bollinger %B
0.12
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$240.41
Below
EMA 21
$241.09
Below
EMA 50
$232.22
Above
EMA 200
$206.88
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Growth
85
Profitability
63
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
20.8×
P/B Ratio
5.21×
PEG Ratio
0.17
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$263.88
52W Low
$137.77
Quality & Growth
ROE
1635.2%
ROA
649.4%
Gross Margin
3837.8%
Operating Margin
1475.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.82
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 20.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 0.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.4%; Return on assets of 6.5%; Net margin of 11.7%; Gross margin of 38.4%; Current ratio of 2.22 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.82; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.87); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 18.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-48.5% -> -24.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 107.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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