BX · NYSE · STOCK
Blackstone (BX) Stock Analysis
$114.30
52W $101.73 – $166.39
54/100
$138.09B
25.4
1.59
Is BX Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Blackstone Inc. (BX) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.82 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.18 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — quarter-over-quarter growth rate is accelerating, not just positive. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 40.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 40.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 21.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.73 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 83%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
42
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 40.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 40.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.73 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 54.2.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 41->49 (+8); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: score 48->42 (-7); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.148
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$108.82
Resistance
$116.77
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$113.95
Above
EMA 21
$118.59
Below
EMA 50
$124.48
Below
EMA 200
$130.16
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
49
Growth
77
Profitability
91
Financial Health
29
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.4×
P/B Ratio
9.93×
PEG Ratio
1.21
Dividend Yield
4.58%
52W High
$166.39
52W Low
$101.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
3484.2%
ROA
632.8%
Gross Margin
8881.5%
Operating Margin
5207.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.56
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.4 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.9x; PEG ratio of 1.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.8%; Return on assets of 6.3%; Net margin of 21.9%; Gross margin of 88.8%; Current ratio of 0.92 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.56; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.64); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.3%; EPS growth accelerating (-22.3% -> +11.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 25.6%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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