CART · NASDAQ · STOCK
Maplebear (CART) Stock Analysis
$47.74
52W $32.73 – $52.68
55/100
$11.23B
25.1
0.87
Is CART Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Maplebear Inc. (CART) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.51 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 73 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 78%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 16.7% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 4.4x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 73 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 56.5 to 54.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: score 58->48 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
73.0
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.469
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$42.89
Resistance
$47.89
Bollinger %B
0.88
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$45.60
Above
EMA 21
$45.74
Above
EMA 50
$46.32
Above
EMA 200
$44.14
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
36
Growth
30
Profitability
87
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.1×
P/B Ratio
4.83×
PEG Ratio
7.71
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$52.68
52W Low
$32.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
1775.2%
ROA
1212.4%
Gross Margin
7242.7%
Operating Margin
1480.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.01
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 25.1 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.8x; PEG ratio of 7.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.8%; Return on assets of 12.1%; Net margin of 12.0%; Gross margin of 72.4%; Current ratio of 2.28 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.01; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.00); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 18.3%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+90.0% -> -21.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 9.8%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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