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Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Stock Analysis

Financial Services Updated October 10, 2026
$304.85
52W $227.15 – $371.18
61/100
$31.83B
23.6
0.41
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
61/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+0.0%
-10.6%
Contested
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.

Is CBOE Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Buy with a composite score of 61/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +14.49 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -5.51 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 50.4% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 25.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • EPS growing 50.4% YoY — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 5.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • RSI at 77 is in overbought territory — Technical
  • Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
61/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 43%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst neutral
59 / 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 5.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
66 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 50.4% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
54 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 77 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.28) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score weakened from 64.3 to 60.5.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst: stance bullish->neutral; score 80->58 (-22); +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
77.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
4.451
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$272.67
Resistance
$304.86
Bollinger %B
1.16
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$283.86 Above
EMA 21
$280.23 Above
EMA 50
$282.99 Above
EMA 200
$280.94 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
67
Growth
68
Profitability
95
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 23.6×
P/B Ratio 5.66×
PEG Ratio 0.47
Dividend Yield 0.99%
52W High $371.18
52W Low $227.15
Quality & Growth
ROE 2140.8%
ROA 1182.1%
Gross Margin 5229.5%
Operating Margin 3518.3%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 0.28
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.7x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 21.4%; Return on assets of 11.8%; Net margin of 26.7%; Gross margin of 52.3%; Current ratio of 1.57 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.28; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.21); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 0.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+20.9% -> -3.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 44.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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