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CELH · NASDAQ · STOCK

Celsius Holdings (CELH) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated September 22, 2026
$29.69
52W $23.56 – $66.74
52/100
$7.16B
133.4
0.92
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
52/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
+15.4%
-1.9%
8.22:1
Moderate

Is CELH Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Celsius Holdings (CELH) Watch with a composite score of 52/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated September 22, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.85 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.15 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 55.4 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 82.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • P/E of 55.4 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only 4.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • EPS declining -4.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 22, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 55.4 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst neutral
47 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 82.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -4.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
49 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 37.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2517.06)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 52.1 to 52.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-21 to 2026-09-22 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
40.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.284
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$27.48
Resistance
$32.31
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$28.40 Above
EMA 21
$29.27 Above
EMA 50
$29.86 Below
EMA 200
$35.29 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
62
Growth
43
Profitability
32
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 133.4×
P/B Ratio 2.41×
PEG Ratio -3.49
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $66.74
52W Low $23.56
Quality & Growth
ROE 367.2%
ROA 211.0%
Gross Margin 4876.0%
Operating Margin 791.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 133.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.4x; PEG ratio of -3.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.7%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 3.6%; Gross margin of 48.8%; Current ratio of 1.80 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.82); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 17.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+57.7% -> -12.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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