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CELH · NASDAQ · STOCK

Celsius Holdings (CELH) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated September 06, 2026
$30.62
52W $23.56 – $66.74
56/100
$7.84B
146.0
0.92
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
56/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+5.5%
-7.9%
0.70:1
Contested

Is CELH Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Celsius Holdings (CELH) Watch with a composite score of 56/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated September 06, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +4.33 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -15.67 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 60.1 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • Revenue growing 82.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
  • VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
  • News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
  • P/E of 60.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
  • Price-to-book of 4.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • ROE of only 4.3% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
  • EPS declining -4.0% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 69%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 60.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst neutral
47 / 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 82.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -4.0% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.23) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 31.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
80 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
64 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 55.7 to 55.7.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
40.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.251
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$28.20
Resistance
$32.31
Bollinger %B
0.43
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.71 Below
EMA 21
$31.31 Below
EMA 50
$30.79 Below
EMA 200
$36.06 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
61
Growth
43
Profitability
32
Financial Health
92
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 146.0×
P/B Ratio 2.64×
PEG Ratio -3.82
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $66.74
52W Low $23.56
Quality & Growth
ROE 367.2%
ROA 211.0%
Gross Margin 4876.0%
Operating Margin 791.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.23
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 146.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.6x; PEG ratio of -3.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.7%; Return on assets of 2.1%; Net margin of 3.6%; Gross margin of 48.8%; Current ratio of 1.80 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.23; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.82); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 17.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+57.7% -> -12.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -23.4%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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