SPB · NYSE · STOCK
Spectrum Brands Holdings (SPB) Stock Analysis
$77.33
52W $49.99 – $99.06
58/100
$1.79B
23.2
0.64
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is SPB Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. (SPB) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.22 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.78 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.5% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- ROE of only 4.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 24 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 37%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ Price-to-book of 0.7x is a discount to asset value
− ROE of only 4.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 29 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.8 to 57.8.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
28.7
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.534
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$72.29
Resistance
$80.29
Bollinger %B
0.20
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$78.58
Below
EMA 21
$81.36
Below
EMA 50
$83.88
Below
EMA 200
$79.26
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
94
Profitability
30
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.2×
P/B Ratio
0.97×
PEG Ratio
0.98
Dividend Yield
2.43%
52W High
$99.06
52W Low
$49.99
Quality & Growth
ROE
523.1%
ROA
295.6%
Gross Margin
3980.4%
Operating Margin
831.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 23.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.0x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 5.2%; Return on assets of 3.0%; Net margin of 2.8%; Gross margin of 39.8%; Current ratio of 2.41 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (12.62); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 88.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-10.7% -> +123.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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