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TAL · NYSE · STOCK

TAL Education Group

Consumer Defensive Updated August 11, 2026
$12.13
52W $8.88 – $13.37
69/100
$7.40B
2.5
0.07
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
69/100
Conviction: Moderate · 67% agreement · 6 analysts
Moderate

Is TAL Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates TAL Education Group (TAL) Buy with a composite score of 69/100 , based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement. Last updated August 11, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is revenue growing 32.4% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Most analysts agree, and no major concerns are blocking a stronger rating.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 6.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • ROE of 24.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Revenue growing 32.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
  • EPS growing 846.5% YoY — Growth
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 34.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
69/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 6.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst bullish
85 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 32.4% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 34.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
78 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst bullish
63 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.17 across 6 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
61.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.093
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$10.55
Resistance
$12.84
Bollinger %B
0.73
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$12.04 Above
EMA 21
$11.42 Above
EMA 50
$10.82 Above
EMA 200
$10.89 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
100
Profitability
88
Financial Health
87
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 2.5×
P/B Ratio 0.55×
PEG Ratio 0.01
Dividend Yield 0.00%
52W High $13.37
52W Low $8.88
Quality & Growth
ROE 1411.4%
ROA 897.4%
Gross Margin 5601.3%
Operating Margin 1249.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.10
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 2.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.5x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 14.1%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 28.4%; Gross margin of 56.0%; Current ratio of 1.69 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.10; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.75); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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