CHKP · NASDAQ · STOCK
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
$129.00
52W $112.23 – $210.66
54/100
$13.18B
13.0
0.49
Is CHKP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.30 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.70 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 284 Technology peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
47
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.252
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$117.78
Resistance
$141.19
Bollinger %B
0.43
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$128.45
Above
EMA 21
$129.63
Below
EMA 50
$130.93
Below
EMA 200
$152.31
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
83
Profitability
100
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.0×
P/B Ratio
4.85×
PEG Ratio
0.51
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$210.66
52W Low
$112.23
Quality & Growth
ROE
3667.1%
ROA
1353.9%
Gross Margin
8612.0%
Operating Margin
2901.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 13.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 36.7%; Return on assets of 13.5%; Net margin of 37.9%; Gross margin of 86.1%; Current ratio of 1.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.07); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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