CHKP · NASDAQ · STOCK
Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP) Stock Analysis
$137.06
52W $112.23 – $210.66
63/100
$14.01B
13.9
0.47
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CHKP Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 5 analysts with 60% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 27.0% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 13.3 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 36.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 27.0% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 16%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 13.3 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 6.9x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
72
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 27.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.7 to 63.0.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 47->58 (+11); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.269
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$122.16
Resistance
$141.19
Bollinger %B
0.72
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$132.85
Above
EMA 21
$132.85
Above
EMA 50
$132.73
Above
EMA 200
$145.74
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
81
Profitability
100
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.9×
P/B Ratio
5.16×
PEG Ratio
0.54
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$210.66
52W Low
$112.23
Quality & Growth
ROE
3667.1%
ROA
1353.9%
Gross Margin
8612.0%
Operating Margin
2901.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.72
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 13.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 36.7%; Return on assets of 13.5%; Net margin of 37.9%; Gross margin of 86.1%; Current ratio of 1.67 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.72; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.07); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-26.5% -> +2.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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