NASDAQ · STOCK
Capital One
$199.74
52W $174.24 – $259.64
54/100
$125.00B
39.0
1.03
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a neutral lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 17.7% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 50% agreement on a neutral lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 17.7% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.452) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 8.8% downside vs 2.9% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
60%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Moderate
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.4x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 37.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Revenue growing 38.2% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− EPS declining -73.3% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
33.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.452
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$175.00
Resistance
$197.53
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$200.54
Below
EMA 21
$197.66
Above
EMA 50
$194.41
Above
EMA 200
$200.44
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
52
Growth
62
Profitability
31
Financial Health
100
Valuation
P/E Ratio
39.0×
P/B Ratio
1.36×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
1.58%
52W High
$259.64
52W Low
$174.24
Quality & Growth
ROE
286.0%
ROA
48.0%
Gross Margin
—
Operating Margin
1832.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
+3819.1%
Debt / Equity
0.44
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 39.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.4x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 38.2%; EPS growth (YoY) of -73.3%; Return on equity of 2.9%; Return on assets of 0.5%; Net margin of 14.9%; Debt-to-equity of 0.44; Most recent quarter missed estimates by 3.9%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-35.1% -> +14.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.452) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 8.8% downside vs 2.9% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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