COHR · NASDAQ · STOCK
Coherent Corp.
$351.08
52W $84.35 – $440.00
53/100
$74.17B
165.6
2.11
Is COHR Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Coherent Corp. (COHR) Watch with a composite score of 53/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.71 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 49.0% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- RSI at 76 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 49.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
53/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 89%
of 172 Technology peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− RSI at 76 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 49.0% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 52.7 to 52.7.
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
76.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
13.314
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$215.59
Resistance
$439.26
Bollinger %B
1.09
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$315.65
Above
EMA 21
$309.54
Above
EMA 50
$322.87
Above
EMA 200
$269.12
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
57
Profitability
21
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
165.6×
P/B Ratio
5.52×
PEG Ratio
-0.28
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$440.00
52W Low
$84.35
Quality & Growth
ROE
60.7%
ROA
33.1%
Gross Margin
3699.0%
Operating Margin
1028.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 165.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.5x; PEG ratio of -0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.6%; Return on assets of 0.3%; Net margin of 7.1%; Gross margin of 37.0%; Current ratio of 3.05 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is negative (-3.46); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.1%; EPS growth roughly steady (+11.2% -> +9.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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