COHR · NYSE · STOCK
Coherent (COHR) Stock Analysis
$289.08
52W $85.94 – $440.00
59/100
$56.64B
66.6
2.11
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is COHR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Coherent Corp. (COHR) Buy with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.78 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.22 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 1617.0% yoy. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 79.5 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 1617.0% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 141 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 79.5 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 36%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 79.5 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 1617.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 53.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 141 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 59.2.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.410
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$215.59
Resistance
$300.02
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$308.24
Below
EMA 21
$312.16
Below
EMA 50
$320.82
Below
EMA 200
$273.78
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
82
Profitability
31
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
66.6×
P/B Ratio
5.20×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$440.00
52W Low
$85.94
Quality & Growth
ROE
220.6%
ROA
131.4%
Gross Margin
3749.5%
Operating Margin
1086.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 66.6 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 2.2%; Return on assets of 1.3%; Net margin of 11.3%; Gross margin of 37.5%; Current ratio of 2.43 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.23); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +23.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 74.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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