COHR · NYSE · STOCK
Coherent (COHR) Stock Analysis
$312.60
52W $108.19 – $440.00
62/100
$61.16B
71.9
2.11
Is COHR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Coherent Corp. (COHR) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 1617.2% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- EPS growing 1617.2% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 73.6 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 7.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 26%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
40
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 73.6 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 1617.2% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.30) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 28.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.5 to 61.5.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.652
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$255.27
Resistance
$391.37
Bollinger %B
0.59
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$316.02
Below
EMA 21
$308.79
Above
EMA 50
$307.07
Above
EMA 200
$280.87
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
46
Growth
82
Profitability
45
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
71.9×
P/B Ratio
5.61×
PEG Ratio
0.04
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$440.00
52W Low
$108.19
Quality & Growth
ROE
738.3%
ROA
439.9%
Gross Margin
3749.5%
Operating Margin
1195.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.32
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 71.9 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 5.6x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.4%; Return on assets of 4.4%; Net margin of 11.3%; Gross margin of 37.5%; Current ratio of 2.43 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.32; Free cash flow per share is negative (-5.27); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 5.6%; EPS growth accelerating (+9.3% -> +23.4% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 74.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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