COIN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Coinbase
$153.61
52W $139.11 – $402.16
48/100
$40.52B
-41.6
3.35
Is COIN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Coinbase (COIN) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement.
Last updated August 08, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.25 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.75 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). Growth Analyst remains cautious — 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 08, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 142 Financial Services peers
Growth Analyst
bearish
28
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns
Technical Analyst
neutral
49
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 20.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 47.8 to 47.8.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-07 to 2026-08-08 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.126
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$146.21
Resistance
$187.34
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$153.03
Above
EMA 21
$156.86
Below
EMA 50
$163.45
Below
EMA 200
$200.81
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
92
Growth
6
Profitability
46
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-41.6×
P/B Ratio
3.09×
PEG Ratio
0.31
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$402.16
52W Low
$139.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
852.0%
ROA
424.8%
Gross Margin
7901.2%
Operating Margin
-42.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -41.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.5%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of -17.8%; Gross margin of 79.0%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.10); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 574.4%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+40.2% -> +21.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -159.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full COIN Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →