COIN · NASDAQ · STOCK
Coinbase (COIN) Stock Analysis
$179.40
52W $139.11 – $373.25
44/100
$47.33B
-48.6
3.41
Is COIN Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Coinbase (COIN) Watch with a composite score of 44/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +15.90 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -4.10 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -10.3% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only -6.9% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Revenue declining -10.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- 3 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
44/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 99%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− Price-to-book of 4.1x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -10.3% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 22.6% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 44.5 to 44.1.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.505
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$162.57
Resistance
$181.48
Bollinger %B
0.33
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$182.56
Below
EMA 21
$183.70
Below
EMA 50
$178.86
Above
EMA 200
$193.14
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
6
Profitability
46
Financial Health
81
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-48.6×
P/B Ratio
3.61×
PEG Ratio
0.37
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$373.25
52W Low
$139.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
852.0%
ROA
424.8%
Gross Margin
7595.4%
Operating Margin
1097.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.51
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -48.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.6x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.5%; Return on assets of 4.2%; Net margin of -15.7%; Gross margin of 76.0%; Current ratio of 1.54 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.51; Free cash flow per share is positive (10.10); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 574.4%; 3 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth decelerating (+40.2% -> +21.5% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -159.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full COIN Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →