CSCO · NASDAQ · STOCK
Cisco (CSCO) Stock Analysis
$111.05
52W $66.13 – $130.37
54/100
$437.66B
33.0
1.01
Is CSCO Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Cisco (CSCO) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.50 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.50 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 1.00 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 25.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.4 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 1.00 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 16.0% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 80%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 25.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 37.4 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 1.00 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.5 to 53.5.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.052
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$107.53
Resistance
$130.37
Bollinger %B
0.23
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$113.10
Below
EMA 21
$114.85
Below
EMA 50
$114.13
Below
EMA 200
$97.06
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
79
Profitability
100
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.0×
P/B Ratio
8.73×
PEG Ratio
1.06
Dividend Yield
1.50%
52W High
$130.37
52W Low
$66.13
Quality & Growth
ROE
2638.4%
ROA
1023.4%
Gross Margin
6452.4%
Operating Margin
2426.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.7x; PEG ratio of 1.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 26.4%; Return on assets of 10.2%; Net margin of 21.0%; Gross margin of 64.5%; Current ratio of 0.93 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.9% -> +15.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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