CSCO · NASDAQ · STOCK
Cisco (CSCO) Stock Analysis
$107.39
52W $68.57 – $130.37
60/100
$433.09B
32.7
0.98
Is CSCO Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Cisco (CSCO) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.54 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 30.8% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 27.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.2% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 30.8% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.6 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.0x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.1% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 32%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 27.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 32.6 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 30.8% YoY
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.2 to 59.5.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
38.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.161
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$107.53
Resistance
$124.68
Bollinger %B
0.42
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$113.40
Below
EMA 21
$112.32
Below
EMA 50
$111.91
Below
EMA 200
$101.40
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
79
Profitability
100
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.7×
P/B Ratio
8.64×
PEG Ratio
1.05
Dividend Yield
1.52%
52W High
$130.37
52W Low
$68.57
Quality & Growth
ROE
2638.4%
ROA
1023.4%
Gross Margin
6452.4%
Operating Margin
2426.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.59
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 32.7 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 8.6x; PEG ratio of 1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 26.4%; Return on assets of 10.2%; Net margin of 21.0%; Gross margin of 64.5%; Current ratio of 0.93 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.59; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.2%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+1.9% -> +15.1% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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