CVSA · NYSE · STOCK
Covista (CVSA) Stock Analysis
$129.69
52W $86.97 – $156.26
66/100
$4.40B
17.1
0.65
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is CVSA Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Covista Inc. (CVSA) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.65 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.35 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Stochastic RSI (97.9) confirms overbought conditions.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 9.7% downside vs 3.0% upside.
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 4%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 17.8% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.43 across 7 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.7 to 66.3.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 48->58 (+10).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.013
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$117.13
Resistance
$133.55
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$126.72
Above
EMA 21
$126.07
Above
EMA 50
$126.43
Above
EMA 200
$121.67
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
81
Profitability
82
Financial Health
59
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.1×
P/B Ratio
3.04×
PEG Ratio
0.75
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$156.26
52W Low
$86.97
Quality & Growth
ROE
1739.5%
ROA
835.0%
Gross Margin
5733.8%
Operating Margin
1972.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.63
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.0x; PEG ratio of 0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.4%; Return on assets of 8.4%; Net margin of 12.9%; Gross margin of 57.3%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.63; Free cash flow per share is positive (11.54); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 8.3%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-18.5% -> +5.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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