NASDAQ · STOCK
Dollar Tree
$121.94
52W $84.71 – $142.40
52/100
$23.75B
18.4
0.67
Price History (6M)
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Executive Summary
6 analysts weighed in with 67% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Risk Analyst: Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility. Overall recommendation: WATCH.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Positive MACD histogram signals bullish momentum.
- Daily trend: uptrend.
- Daily uptrend conflicts with weekly downtrend — buying against the higher timeframe trend is higher risk.
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 35.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 6.2x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 51.3% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 34 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
65.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.179
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$116.05
Resistance
$138.85
Bollinger %B
0.80
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$121.22
Above
EMA 21
$116.89
Above
EMA 50
$111.34
Above
EMA 200
$108.52
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
57
Growth
80
Profitability
67
Financial Health
57
Valuation
P/E Ratio
18.4×
P/B Ratio
6.21×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
—
52W High
$142.40
52W Low
$84.71
Quality & Growth
ROE
3590.0%
ROA
947.0%
Gross Margin
3671.0%
Operating Margin
885.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+5133.0%
Debt / Equity
0.65
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 18.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.2x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 51.3%; Return on equity of 35.9%; Return on assets of 9.5%; Net margin of 6.5%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 1.07 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.65; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 10.6%; EPS growth decelerating (+111.6% -> -32.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- Weekly trend is bearish while daily is bullish — against the higher-timeframe trend.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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