NASDAQ · STOCK
Dollar General
$116.36
52W $95.11 – $158.23
64/100
$25.32B
16.1
0.24
Price History (6M)
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Overall recommendation: BUY.
Executive Summary
5 analysts weighed in with 80% agreement on a bullish lean. Macro Analyst: Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing). Overall recommendation: BUY.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Daily volatility (ATR%) above ~3% is treated as elevated risk.
Bear Case
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.041) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 8.9% downside vs 1.2% upside.
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of July 07, 2026
Overall Committee Score
64/100
Agreement
100%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Unanimous
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 34.9% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (sideways) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 18 articles, 14d)
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.041
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$104.70
Resistance
$116.28
Bollinger %B
0.51
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$115.81
Above
EMA 21
$114.39
Above
EMA 50
$114.65
Above
EMA 200
$118.34
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
81
Growth
69
Profitability
47
Financial Health
63
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.1×
P/B Ratio
3.71×
PEG Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.04%
52W High
$158.23
52W Low
$95.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
1865.0%
ROA
497.0%
Gross Margin
3083.0%
Operating Margin
526.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
+472.0%
Debt / Equity
0.54
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 16.1 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.7x; Revenue growth (YoY) of 4.7%; EPS growth (YoY) of 34.9%; Return on equity of 18.6%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 3.6%; Gross margin of 30.8%; Current ratio of 1.13 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.54; Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+50.8% -> +3.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
Key Risks
- MACD histogram is negative (-0.041) — bearish momentum.
- Both daily and weekly trends are bearish — strong multi-timeframe downtrend.
- Lower Highs / Lower Lows structure confirms bearish price action.
- Bearish candlestick pattern(s) detected: Three Black Crows.
- Risk/reward is unfavorable: 8.9% downside vs 1.2% upside.
This risk summary is generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative opinion. All investors should conduct their own due diligence. This is not financial advice.
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