DG · NYSE · STOCK
Dollar General (DG) Stock Analysis
$120.07
52W $95.11 – $158.23
66/100
$27.19B
17.3
0.23
Is DG Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Dollar General (DG) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.00 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. The main limiting factor is macd histogram negative -- bearish momentum. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 18.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 34.9% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 6%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
63
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ ROE of 18.6% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 34.9% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 18 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2963.04)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 66.0 to 66.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-08-16 to 2026-08-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
49.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.849
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Sideways
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$122.21
Resistance
$126.83
Bollinger %B
0.47
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$123.22
Below
EMA 21
$122.97
Below
EMA 50
$120.54
Below
EMA 200
$119.53
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
89
Growth
69
Profitability
46
Financial Health
33
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
17.3×
P/B Ratio
3.07×
PEG Ratio
0.49
Dividend Yield
1.91%
52W High
$158.23
52W Low
$95.11
Quality & Growth
ROE
1776.7%
ROA
488.4%
Gross Margin
3082.7%
Operating Margin
526.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 17.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.1x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 17.8%; Return on assets of 4.9%; Net margin of 3.6%; Gross margin of 30.8%; Current ratio of 1.17 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.79; Free cash flow per share is positive (13.13); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+50.8% -> +3.6% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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