MZTI · NASDAQ · STOCK
The Marzetti (MZTI) Stock Analysis
$99.37
52W $97.00 – $176.26
68/100
$2.72B
14.2
0.36
Is MZTI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Buy with a composite score of 68/100
, based on 6 analysts with 83% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +6.56 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -13.44 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 4 articles, 14d). Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 18.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.20) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
68/100
Agreement
83%
Analysts
6
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 1%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bullish
75
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.20) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
82
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.75 across 4 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 67.6 to 68.4.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 77->82 (+5); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
39.9
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.371
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Bollinger %B
0.21
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$100.41
Below
EMA 21
$101.83
Below
EMA 50
$105.53
Below
EMA 200
$125.37
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
94
Growth
62
Profitability
64
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.2×
P/B Ratio
2.72×
PEG Ratio
0.95
Dividend Yield
4.03%
52W High
$176.26
52W Low
$97.00
Quality & Growth
ROE
1918.9%
ROA
1503.1%
Gross Margin
2473.2%
Operating Margin
1237.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.06
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.7x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 19.2%; Return on assets of 15.0%; Net margin of 9.9%; Gross margin of 24.7%; Current ratio of 2.38 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.06; Free cash flow per share is positive (7.53); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 2.6%; EPS growth accelerating (-40.5% -> +10.6% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 23.7%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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