DB · NYSE · STOCK
Deutsche Bank (DB) Stock Analysis
$32.58
52W $28.12 – $41.62
55/100
$61.75B
7.8
1.00
Is DB Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Deutsche Bank AG (DB) Watch with a composite score of 55/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 16, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.19 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.81 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 96.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2739.42). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 7.6 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Price-to-book of 0.8x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.7% pays you to wait — Value
- Revenue growing 96.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 32.4% YoY — Growth
Bear Case
- Debt-to-equity of 3.24 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- RSI at 17 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.24) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Bollinger bandwidth of 18.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 16, 2026
Overall Committee Score
55/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 81%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 7.6 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Debt-to-equity of 3.24 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 96.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 17 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.24) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
60
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2739.42)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 55.2 to 54.8.
- Recommendation changed from Buy to Watch.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Portfolio Manager: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-15 to 2026-10-16 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
16.6
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.197
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$28.12
Resistance
$34.32
Bollinger %B
0.15
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$33.76
Below
EMA 21
$35.14
Below
EMA 50
$36.28
Below
EMA 200
$35.07
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
100
Growth
50
Profitability
48
Financial Health
57
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.8×
P/B Ratio
0.82×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
3.39%
52W High
$41.62
52W Low
$28.12
Quality & Growth
ROE
881.3%
ROA
48.3%
Gross Margin
5264.9%
Operating Margin
1780.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.22
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 0.8x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 8.8%; Return on assets of 0.5%; Net margin of 12.7%; Gross margin of 52.6%; Current ratio of 4.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.22; Free cash flow per share is negative (0.00); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 14.0%; EPS growth decelerating (+31.1% -> -41.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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