DOX · NASDAQ · STOCK
Amdocs (DOX) Stock Analysis
$60.82
52W $49.74 – $85.63
63/100
$6.35B
14.0
0.45
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is DOX Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Amdocs Limited (DOX) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 14, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +11.91 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -8.09 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.19) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 14.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.19) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- EPS declining -14.7% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- 2 consecutive earnings misses -- execution concerns — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 14, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Moderate
Sector Rank
Top 12%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 14.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive
− EPS declining -14.7% YoY despite any revenue growth
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.19) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.25 across 12 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.7 to 63.1.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Macro Analyst: score 80->65 (-15).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Portfolio Manager: score 30->35 (+5).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-13 to 2026-10-14 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
55.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.117
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$49.80
Resistance
$64.23
Bollinger %B
0.69
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$58.93
Above
EMA 21
$59.04
Above
EMA 50
$58.96
Above
EMA 200
$63.84
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Growth
52
Profitability
67
Financial Health
56
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
14.0×
P/B Ratio
1.89×
PEG Ratio
-0.97
Dividend Yield
3.79%
52W High
$85.63
52W Low
$49.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
1646.6%
ROA
903.6%
Gross Margin
3781.2%
Operating Margin
1753.3%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.33
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 14.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.9x; PEG ratio of -1.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.5%; Return on assets of 9.0%; Net margin of 9.8%; Gross margin of 37.8%; Current ratio of 0.94 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.33; Free cash flow per share is positive (6.06); Most recent quarter missed estimates by 1.0%; 2 consecutive earnings misses; EPS growth accelerating (-1.7% -> +3.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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