ETOR · NASDAQ · STOCK
eToro Group (ETOR) Stock Analysis
$32.48
52W $24.74 – $47.25
65/100
$2.73B
10.8
1.69
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ETOR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Buy with a composite score of 65/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 06, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.58 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.42 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.1 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 19.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 105.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 141.9% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 23.7% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 06, 2026
Overall Committee Score
65/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 46%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.1 is inexpensive for the broad market
Growth Analyst
bullish
71
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 105.5% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.04) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 23.7% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2704.43)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 65.4 to 65.4.
Comparing 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-06 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
59.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.586
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$28.51
Resistance
$33.69
Bollinger %B
0.79
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$31.73
Above
EMA 21
$31.90
Above
EMA 50
$33.76
Below
EMA 200
$37.45
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
96
Growth
56
Profitability
48
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.8×
P/B Ratio
2.18×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$47.25
52W Low
$24.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
1546.7%
ROA
1204.1%
Gross Margin
944.0%
Operating Margin
375.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.03
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 10.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.5%; Return on assets of 12.0%; Net margin of 3.1%; Gross margin of 9.4%; Current ratio of 186.70 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.03; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.31); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+28.2% -> -25.3% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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