ETOR · NASDAQ · STOCK
eToro Group Ltd.
$29.36
52W $24.74 – $56.48
56/100
$2.47B
10.4
1.69
Is ETOR Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates eToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Buy with a composite score of 56/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +19.14 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -0.86 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- RSI at 14 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Price trading below the lower Bollinger Band -- stretched to the downside — Technical
- Weekly RSI at 22 -- oversold on the larger timeframe too — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
56/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 86%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Technical Analyst
neutral
41
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 21.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
14.0
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.538
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$28.51
Resistance
$33.69
Bollinger %B
-0.38
Below Lower Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$34.47
Below
EMA 21
$36.03
Below
EMA 50
$37.10
Below
EMA 200
$38.85
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
98
Profitability
47
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.4×
P/B Ratio
1.79×
PEG Ratio
0.46
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$56.48
52W Low
$24.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
1546.7%
ROA
1204.1%
Gross Margin
762.5%
Operating Margin
287.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.02
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 10.4 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 1.8x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 15.5%; Return on assets of 12.0%; Net margin of 2.3%; Gross margin of 7.6%; Current ratio of 235.25 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.02; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.87); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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