ROST · NASDAQ · STOCK
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis
$222.36
52W $148.58 – $257.00
63/100
$71.34B
26.7
0.84
Is ROST Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Buy with a composite score of 63/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.41 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.59 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Risk Analyst sees a compelling case — low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 42.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 31.4% YoY — Growth
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
Bear Case
- P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 9.9x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup) — Technical
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
63/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 17%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Value Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 42.3% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 26.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 31.4% YoY
Technical Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is deteriorating -- trend and/or momentum are working against this name
− RSI at 27 is in oversold territory (could mean either capitulation or a bounce setup)
Risk Analyst
bullish
80
/ 100 · Low confidence
Risk profile is manageable -- leverage, volatility, and event exposure all look contained
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.25) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 63.9 to 62.6.
- Committee agreement increased notably from 50% to 67%.
- New bearish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: News Analyst, Technical Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: stance neutral->bullish.
- Technical Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 48->38 (-10); +1 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
26.8
Oversold
MACD Histogram
-0.859
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$208.44
Resistance
$242.62
Bollinger %B
0.09
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$227.08
Below
EMA 21
$229.51
Below
EMA 50
$231.55
Below
EMA 200
$216.42
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
51
Growth
77
Profitability
70
Financial Health
79
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.7×
P/B Ratio
10.50×
PEG Ratio
0.85
Dividend Yield
0.78%
52W High
$257.00
52W Low
$148.58
Quality & Growth
ROE
3466.8%
ROA
1379.6%
Gross Margin
2989.3%
Operating Margin
1375.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.5x; PEG ratio of 0.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.7%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 29.9%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 4.1%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth roughly steady (+1.0% -> +2.0% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 32.0%; Analyst estimates flat over recent quarters
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