ROST · NASDAQ · STOCK
Ross Stores (ROST) Stock Analysis
$239.04
52W $143.39 – $257.00
58/100
$76.68B
28.7
0.88
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is ROST Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 4 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +16.84 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -3.16 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
4
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 40%
of 178 Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 61.5 to 58.2.
- Conviction changed from moderate to contested.
- Committee agreement fell notably from 67% to 50%.
- Bullish support removed: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bullish at 80).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 54).
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.0
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-2.801
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$208.44
Resistance
$242.62
Bollinger %B
0.26
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$239.50
Below
EMA 21
$241.23
Below
EMA 50
$236.40
Above
EMA 200
$210.79
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
48
Growth
63
Profitability
70
Financial Health
80
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
28.7×
P/B Ratio
10.81×
PEG Ratio
0.91
Dividend Yield
0.71%
52W High
$257.00
52W Low
$143.39
Quality & Growth
ROE
3466.8%
ROA
1379.6%
Gross Margin
2989.3%
Operating Margin
1375.0%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.67
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 28.7 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.8x; PEG ratio of 0.9 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 34.7%; Return on assets of 13.8%; Net margin of 10.8%; Gross margin of 29.9%; Current ratio of 1.61 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.67; Free cash flow per share is positive (8.77); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 14.5%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+26.6% -> +1.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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