FSLY · NASDAQ · STOCK
Fastly (FSLY) Stock Analysis
$29.33
52W $7.74 – $34.82
60/100
$4.59B
-55.3
0.36
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FSLY Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Fastly, Inc. (FSLY) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 67% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.35 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.65 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -8.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- RSI at 72 is in overbought territory — Technical
- Price trading above the upper Bollinger Band -- stretched — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 24.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
67%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 42%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -8.5% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 3 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− RSI at 72 is in overbought territory
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 24.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 34 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 58.6 to 59.6.
- New bearish signals: 3 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 2 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 62->68 (+6); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
- Technical Analyst: +2 bearish signal(s); +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
72.4
Overbought
MACD Histogram
0.120
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$19.79
Resistance
$30.63
Bollinger %B
1.07
Above Upper Band
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$26.33
Above
EMA 21
$25.59
Above
EMA 50
$24.39
Above
EMA 200
$20.27
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
84
Growth
85
Profitability
25
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-55.3×
P/B Ratio
4.66×
PEG Ratio
-0.74
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$34.82
52W Low
$7.74
Quality & Growth
ROE
-1308.9%
ROA
-811.5%
Gross Margin
6147.2%
Operating Margin
-1193.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.40
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -55.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 4.7x; PEG ratio of -0.7 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -13.1%; Return on assets of -8.1%; Net margin of -11.8%; Gross margin of 61.5%; Current ratio of 3.36 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.40; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.27); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 123.2%; 3 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+8.3% -> +15.4% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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