FUTU · NASDAQ · STOCK
Futu Holdings (FUTU) Stock Analysis
$113.72
52W $80.50 – $202.53
66/100
$15.87B
11.2
0.38
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is FUTU Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +9.34 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -10.66 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 44.9% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
- ROE of 28.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Revenue growing 44.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- EPS growing 40.2% YoY — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 4.5x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 19%
of 211 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · High confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 10.8 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.5x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 44.9% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
53
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 64.5 to 65.7.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 2 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Technical Analyst: score 47->53 (+6); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
57.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.125
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$80.58
Resistance
$128.43
Bollinger %B
0.77
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$110.51
Above
EMA 21
$111.24
Above
EMA 50
$111.53
Above
EMA 200
$124.24
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
91
Growth
71
Profitability
87
Financial Health
94
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
11.2×
P/B Ratio
3.18×
PEG Ratio
0.28
Dividend Yield
2.29%
52W High
$202.53
52W Low
$80.50
Quality & Growth
ROE
2829.8%
ROA
495.5%
Gross Margin
8940.4%
Operating Margin
6393.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.73
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.2 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 3.2x; PEG ratio of 0.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 28.3%; Return on assets of 5.0%; Net margin of 42.9%; Gross margin of 89.4%; Current ratio of 5.34 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.73; Free cash flow per share is negative (0.00); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 24.9%; EPS growth accelerating (-73.4% -> +309.9% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 41.0%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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