GFS · NASDAQ · STOCK
GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) Stock Analysis
$48.24
52W $32.02 – $92.55
62/100
$26.47B
37.4
1.76
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is GFS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.28 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.72 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 45 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 37.0 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 25%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 37.0 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 17.4% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 45 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 61.0 to 61.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: score 62->66 (+4); +1 bullish signal(s).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.286
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$40.60
Resistance
$50.88
Bollinger %B
0.61
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$48.45
Below
EMA 21
$47.94
Above
EMA 50
$50.05
Below
EMA 200
$52.65
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
66
Growth
81
Profitability
40
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
37.4×
P/B Ratio
2.24×
PEG Ratio
0.02
Dividend Yield
0.50%
52W High
$92.55
52W Low
$32.02
Quality & Growth
ROE
742.0%
ROA
516.3%
Gross Margin
2742.9%
Operating Margin
1158.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 37.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.2x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.4%; Return on assets of 5.2%; Net margin of 10.3%; Gross margin of 27.4%; Current ratio of 2.48 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.45); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-27.3% -> +15.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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