GFS · NASDAQ · STOCK
GLOBALFOUNDRIES (GFS) Stock Analysis
$43.04
52W $31.91 – $92.55
60/100
$23.46B
33.1
1.77
Is GFS Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) Buy with a composite score of 60/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 17, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +15.29 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -4.71 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 30 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bearish picture — Technical
- Daily trend (downtrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (uptrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 17, 2026
Overall Committee Score
60/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 44%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 32.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
46
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.14) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.5% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
66
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.27 across 30 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2514.55)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 59.7 to 59.7.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
Analyst-level changes:
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-09-16 to 2026-09-17 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
30.1
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.357
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$40.60
Resistance
$50.88
Bollinger %B
0.08
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$44.85
Below
EMA 21
$46.60
Below
EMA 50
$52.18
Below
EMA 200
$53.59
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
73
Growth
81
Profitability
40
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.1×
P/B Ratio
1.99×
PEG Ratio
0.01
Dividend Yield
0.28%
52W High
$92.55
52W Low
$31.91
Quality & Growth
ROE
742.0%
ROA
516.3%
Gross Margin
2742.9%
Operating Margin
1158.8%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.14
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 33.1 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.0x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 7.4%; Return on assets of 5.2%; Net margin of 10.3%; Gross margin of 27.4%; Current ratio of 2.48 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.14; Free cash flow per share is positive (1.45); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 3.0%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (-27.3% -> +15.0% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
Get the Full GFS Analysis
Interactive charts · Live committee votes · Trade plan · Paper trading · AI Q&A
Open in Terminal →