GLXY · NASDAQ · STOCK
Galaxy Digital
$20.14
52W $16.43 – $45.92
59/100
$6.68B
-47.6
3.67
Is GLXY Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Galaxy Digital (GLXY) Watch with a composite score of 59/100
, based on 5 analysts with 80% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +0.97 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -19.03 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
Some positive signals exist — vix regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — but they are not yet strong enough to justify a Buy. The committee is monitoring for confirmation.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 3.70 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- ROE of only -3.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 37.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
59/100
Agreement
80%
Analysts
5
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 75%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -3.7% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 37.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
54
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
43.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.019
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$17.43
Resistance
$33.15
Bollinger %B
0.29
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$20.47
Below
EMA 21
$21.95
Below
EMA 50
$24.26
Below
EMA 200
$25.70
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
97
Profitability
0
Financial Health
47
Cash Flow
15
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-47.6×
P/B Ratio
2.13×
PEG Ratio
0.10
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$45.92
52W Low
$16.43
Quality & Growth
ROE
-440.9%
ROA
-74.8%
Gross Margin
213.4%
Operating Margin
80.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
1.79
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of -47.6 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.1x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -4.4%; Return on assets of -0.7%; Net margin of -0.2%; Gross margin of 2.1%; Current ratio of 1.50 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.79; Free cash flow per share is negative (-7.07); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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