HPE · NYSE · STOCK
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Stock Analysis
$53.44
52W $19.84 – $64.25
58/100
$70.77B
49.0
1.44
⚠
Buy rating, but near-term risk/reward is unfavorable
The long-term recommendation is based on the composite investment score. The near-term risk/reward is based on nearby support and resistance levels. These can differ when a strong company trades close to resistance with support further below.
Is HPE Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.43 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.57 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 33.3% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value — Value
- Dividend yield of 3.0% pays you to wait — Value
- 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
- P/E of 51.3 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 33.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
50
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ Price-to-book of 1.3x is a discount to asset value
− P/E of 51.3 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
bullish
61
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 33.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 57.6 to 57.6.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
46.7
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.359
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$40.73
Resistance
$64.24
Bollinger %B
0.54
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$54.56
Below
EMA 21
$52.94
Above
EMA 50
$48.83
Above
EMA 200
$35.71
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
60
Growth
81
Profitability
13
Financial Health
54
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
49.0×
P/B Ratio
2.82×
PEG Ratio
-1.29
Dividend Yield
1.04%
52W High
$64.25
52W Low
$19.84
Quality & Growth
ROE
23.1%
ROA
7.5%
Gross Margin
3292.4%
Operating Margin
659.5%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.84
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 49.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.8x; PEG ratio of -1.3 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 0.2%; Return on assets of 0.1%; Net margin of 3.9%; Gross margin of 32.9%; Current ratio of 1.09 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.84; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.99); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 46.4%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+4.8% -> +21.5% QoQ); Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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