INTC · NASDAQ · STOCK
Intel (INTC) Stock Analysis
$108.97
52W $28.73 – $142.35
54/100
$547.78B
-51.5
2.23
Is INTC Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Intel (INTC) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated September 20, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.09 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -13.91 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Risk Analyst remains cautious — bollinger bandwidth of 30.9% signals elevated volatility. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
Bear Case
- ROE of only -10.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Bollinger bandwidth of 30.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 85%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− ROE of only -10.8% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason
Growth Analyst
neutral
52
/ 100 · High confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 30.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
62
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 53.9 to 53.9.
Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
69.5
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.706
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$98.33
Resistance
$132.71
Bollinger %B
0.93
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$102.24
Above
EMA 21
$99.10
Above
EMA 50
$99.24
Above
EMA 200
$81.59
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
75
Growth
75
Profitability
12
Financial Health
82
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
-51.5×
P/B Ratio
6.33×
PEG Ratio
0.00
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$142.35
52W Low
$28.73
Quality & Growth
ROE
-23.4%
ROA
-12.6%
Gross Margin
3892.9%
Operating Margin
13.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.58
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of -51.5 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.3x; PEG ratio of 0.0 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.2%; Return on assets of -0.1%; Net margin of -19.8%; Gross margin of 38.9%; Current ratio of 1.60 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.58; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.55); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 92.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+93.3% -> +44.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 320.0%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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