IOT · NYSE · STOCK
Samsara Inc.
$40.33
52W $23.38 – $47.47
62/100
$23.27B
394.5
1.34
Is IOT Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Samsara Inc. (IOT) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +12.71 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -7.29 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — revenue growing 29.6% yoy -- genuine top-line momentum. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 405.1 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Revenue growing 29.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
Bear Case
- P/E of 405.1 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 10.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- ROE of only 4.2% -- cheap may mean cheap for a reason — Value
- Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend — Technical
- Bollinger bandwidth of 26.3% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 29%
of 284 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
38
/ 100 · High confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 405.1 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
85
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ Revenue growing 29.6% YoY -- genuine top-line momentum
Technical Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
− Daily trend (uptrend) conflicts with the weekly trend (downtrend) -- fighting the larger trend
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Bollinger bandwidth of 26.3% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.319
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$34.79
Resistance
$40.77
Bollinger %B
0.82
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$38.86
Above
EMA 21
$37.45
Above
EMA 50
$35.53
Above
EMA 200
$34.60
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
33
Profitability
29
Financial Health
84
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
394.5×
P/B Ratio
15.56×
PEG Ratio
-0.15
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$47.47
52W Low
$23.38
Quality & Growth
ROE
-64.2%
ROA
-35.9%
Gross Margin
7624.6%
Operating Margin
-70.1%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.05
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 394.5 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 15.6x; PEG ratio of -0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of -0.6%; Return on assets of -0.4%; Net margin of 3.3%; Gross margin of 76.2%; Current ratio of 1.62 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.05; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.40); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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