JBL · NYSE · STOCK
Jabil (JBL) Stock Analysis
$306.40
52W $189.60 – $428.93
58/100
$32.09B
31.0
1.29
Is JBL Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Jabil (JBL) Buy with a composite score of 58/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +17.02 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -2.98 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — eps growing 64.0% yoy. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 74.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- EPS growing 64.0% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 83 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 30.7 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 19.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 2.09 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.09) amplifies downside in a stress scenario — Risk
- Current ratio of 0.99 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
58/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 54%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 74.1% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 30.7 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
79
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 64.0% YoY
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
32
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 2.09) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 83 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 60.4 to 58.0.
- New bearish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Risk Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: stance neutral->bearish; score 45->32 (-12).
- Value Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
52.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.404
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$286.01
Resistance
$376.90
Bollinger %B
0.57
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$303.76
Above
EMA 21
$305.84
Above
EMA 50
$313.07
Below
EMA 200
$301.79
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
45
Growth
91
Profitability
38
Financial Health
8
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
31.0×
P/B Ratio
19.90×
PEG Ratio
0.49
Dividend Yield
0.10%
52W High
$428.93
52W Low
$189.60
Quality & Growth
ROE
6460.0%
ROA
379.8%
Gross Margin
922.6%
Operating Margin
477.6%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
2.49
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 31.0 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 19.9x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 64.6%; Return on assets of 3.8%; Net margin of 2.9%; Gross margin of 9.2%; Current ratio of 0.99 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 2.49; Free cash flow per share is positive (16.44); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.1%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+17.5% -> +39.2% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 33.7%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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