JCI · NYSE · STOCK
Johnson Controls International (JCI) Stock Analysis
$143.17
52W $103.82 – $157.06
54/100
$86.65B
24.8
1.32
Is JCI Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Johnson Controls International (JCI) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.61 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.39 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. News Analyst sees a compelling case — news sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d). Risk Analyst remains cautious — current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 26.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 2.8% pays you to wait — Value
- EPS growing 70.9% YoY — Growth
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 25.8 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.6x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 60%
of 99 Basic Materials peers
Value Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 26.9% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 25.8 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bullish
60
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 70.9% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Current ratio of 0.93 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.38 across 8 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.4 to 54.4.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
31.6
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-1.188
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$136.40
Resistance
$146.29
Bollinger %B
0.24
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$147.73
Below
EMA 21
$147.85
Below
EMA 50
$145.63
Below
EMA 200
$133.61
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
62
Growth
71
Profitability
75
Financial Health
52
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
24.8×
P/B Ratio
6.44×
PEG Ratio
0.35
Dividend Yield
1.12%
52W High
$157.06
52W Low
$103.82
Quality & Growth
ROE
2545.8%
ROA
867.5%
Gross Margin
3665.1%
Operating Margin
1389.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 24.8 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.4x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 25.5%; Return on assets of 8.7%; Net margin of 14.3%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 0.97 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+33.7% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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