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JCI · NASDAQ · STOCK

Johnson Controls International

Basic Materials Updated August 09, 2026
$151.93
52W $103.07 – $157.06
66/100
$92.20B
26.4
1.32
AI Committee Verdict
Buy
66/100
Conviction: High · 75% agreement · 4 analysts
-10.4%
High

Is JCI Bullish or Bearish?

Bullish. Innellis AI committee rates Johnson Controls International (JCI) Buy with a composite score of 66/100 , based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement. Last updated August 09, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Strong Buy
Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Watch
Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.14 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
  • Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
  • Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
  • Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst bullish
69 / 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst bullish
70 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst bullish
68 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager neutral
55 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score strengthened from 58.4 to 66.1.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
  • Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
  • Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).

Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
67.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$149.39 Above
EMA 21
$146.25 Above
EMA 50
$143.77 Above
EMA 200
$131.91 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
57
Growth
71
Profitability
75
Financial Health
52
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 26.4×
P/B Ratio 6.85×
PEG Ratio 0.37
Dividend Yield 1.05%
52W High $157.06
52W Low $103.07
Quality & Growth
ROE 2545.8%
ROA 867.5%
Gross Margin 3665.1%
Operating Margin 1389.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.4 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 25.5%; Return on assets of 8.7%; Net margin of 14.3%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 0.97 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+33.7% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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Explore JCI Further

📈 Rating History 💰 Earnings 📰 Recent Events 🔄 What Changed 📖 Thesis Evolution 🔍 Similar Stocks
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