JCI · NASDAQ · STOCK
Johnson Controls International
$151.93
52W $103.07 – $157.06
66/100
$92.20B
26.4
1.32
Is JCI Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Johnson Controls International (JCI) Buy with a composite score of 66/100
, based on 4 analysts with 75% agreement.
Last updated August 09, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +8.86 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -11.14 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The primary driver is market regime is bullish (bull market -- normal position sizing). The main limiting factor is growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. The committee is constructive but not yet at full conviction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Price structure making higher highs and higher lows — Technical
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Trend and market structure agree -- coherent bullish picture — Technical
- Weekly trend (uptrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
Bear Case
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 09, 2026
Overall Committee Score
66/100
Agreement
75%
Analysts
4
Conviction
High
Sector Rank
Top 9%
of 54 Basic Materials peers
Growth Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate growth -- present but not remarkable
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst
bullish
69
/ 100 · High confidence
Price action is constructive -- trend and momentum agree
+ Price structure making higher highs and higher lows
Macro Analyst
bullish
70
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing)
News Analyst
bullish
68
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.33 across 36 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 4 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score strengthened from 58.4 to 66.1.
- Conviction changed from moderate to high.
- Committee agreement increased modestly from 67% to 75%.
- Bullish support removed: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 3 signal(s) disappeared.
- Analyst(s) changed stance: Growth Analyst.
- Analyst(s) abstained: Risk Analyst, Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: stance bullish->neutral.
- Risk Analyst abstained (was bearish at 35).
- Value Analyst abstained (was neutral at 48).
Comparing 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-09 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
67.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
1.298
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Uptrend
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.87
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$149.39
Above
EMA 21
$146.25
Above
EMA 50
$143.77
Above
EMA 200
$131.91
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
57
Growth
71
Profitability
75
Financial Health
52
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
26.4×
P/B Ratio
6.85×
PEG Ratio
0.37
Dividend Yield
1.05%
52W High
$157.06
52W Low
$103.07
Quality & Growth
ROE
2545.8%
ROA
867.5%
Gross Margin
3665.1%
Operating Margin
1389.9%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.70
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.4 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.9x; PEG ratio of 0.4 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 25.5%; Return on assets of 8.7%; Net margin of 14.3%; Gross margin of 36.7%; Current ratio of 0.97 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.70; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.29); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.9%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+33.7% -> +19.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 35.2%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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