KD · NYSE · STOCK
Kyndryl (KD) Stock Analysis
$11.74
52W $10.10 – $29.45
48/100
$2.59B
7.9
1.73
Is KD Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Kyndryl (KD) Watch with a composite score of 48/100
, based on 6 analysts with 33% agreement.
Last updated October 10, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +12.46 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -7.54 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — revenue declining -0.6% yoy -- this is not a growth story right now. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 29.1 is moderate-to-rich — Value
- Debt-to-equity of 3.48 adds balance-sheet risk to the value case — Value
- Revenue declining -0.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now — Growth
- EPS declining -70.3% YoY despite any revenue growth — Growth
- Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
- Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
48/100
Agreement
33%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 96%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
neutral
43
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
− P/E of 29.1 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst
bearish
23
/ 100 · High confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Revenue declining -0.6% YoY -- this is not a growth story right now
Technical Analyst
neutral
56
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst
bearish
33
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− High leverage (debt-to-equity 3.48) amplifies downside in a stress scenario
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 15 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
bearish
30
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score weakened from 51.1 to 47.5.
- Committee agreement fell modestly from 40% to 33%.
- New bearish signals: 7 appeared.
- Bullish support removed: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New bullish signals: 1 appeared.
- Bearish pressure eased: 1 signal(s) disappeared.
- New analyst(s) joined: Value Analyst.
Analyst-level changes:
- Growth Analyst: score 35->23 (-12); +2 bearish signal(s).
- News Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).
- Risk Analyst: +3 bearish signal(s).
- Value Analyst joined: neutral at 43.
Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.023
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$11.38
Resistance
$11.98
Bollinger %B
0.40
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$11.70
Above
EMA 21
$11.97
Below
EMA 50
$12.34
Below
EMA 200
$15.58
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
95
Growth
19
Profitability
28
Financial Health
2
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
7.9×
P/B Ratio
2.51×
PEG Ratio
0.46
Dividend Yield
0.00%
52W High
$29.45
52W Low
$10.10
Quality & Growth
ROE
1685.1%
ROA
157.8%
Gross Margin
2186.0%
Operating Margin
339.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
4.61
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 7.9 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.5x; PEG ratio of 0.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 16.9%; Return on assets of 1.6%; Net margin of 1.3%; Gross margin of 21.9%; Current ratio of 0.85 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 4.61; Free cash flow per share is positive (0.65); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 16.8%; EPS growth decelerating (-65.4% -> -166.7% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of -132.4%; Analyst estimates falling over recent quarters
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