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Coca-Cola (KO) Stock Analysis

Consumer Defensive Updated September 20, 2026
$88.14
52W $65.35 – $92.49
52/100
$379.70B
26.5
0.34
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
52/100
Conviction: Contested · 40% agreement · 5 analysts
-12.9%
Contested

Is KO Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Coca-Cola Company (The) (KO) Watch with a composite score of 52/100 , based on 5 analysts with 40% agreement. Last updated September 20, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +7.80 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -12.20 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Growth Analyst remains cautious — growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • ROE of 43.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • Dividend yield of 3.1% pays you to wait — Value
Bear Case
  • P/E of 26.5 is moderate-to-rich — Value
  • Price-to-book of 9.3x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of September 20, 2026
Overall Committee Score
52/100
Agreement
40%
Analysts
5
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 65%
of 72 Consumer Defensive peers
Value Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 43.0% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− P/E of 26.5 is moderate-to-rich
Growth Analyst bearish
38 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Growth story is weak, decelerating, or inconsistent
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
48 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
Portfolio Manager neutral
45 / 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2518.64)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 52.2 to 52.2.

Comparing 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-20 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
46.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.235
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Bollinger %B
0.34
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$88.32 Below
EMA 21
$88.34 Below
EMA 50
$86.94 Above
EMA 200
$80.47 Above

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
43
Growth
57
Profitability
100
Financial Health
53
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 26.5×
P/B Ratio 10.50×
PEG Ratio 1.50
Dividend Yield 2.38%
52W High $92.49
52W Low $65.35
Quality & Growth
ROE 4074.4%
ROA 1250.5%
Gross Margin 6188.8%
Operating Margin 2963.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
Debt / Equity 1.20
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 26.5 (moderate relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 10.5x; PEG ratio of 1.5 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 40.7%; Return on assets of 12.5%; Net margin of 28.6%; Gross margin of 61.9%; Current ratio of 1.30 (tight short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.20; Free cash flow per share is positive (3.32); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 1.0%; 2 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+48.3% -> +12.8% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 11.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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