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LDOS · NYSE · STOCK

Leidos (LDOS) Stock Analysis

Technology Updated October 10, 2026
$121.72
52W $98.86 – $205.77
54/100
$15.31B
11.3
0.59
AI Committee Verdict
Watch
54/100
Conviction: Contested · 50% agreement · 6 analysts
+21.0%
-18.5%
1.14:1
Contested

Is LDOS Bullish or Bearish?

Mixed. Innellis AI committee rates Leidos (LDOS) Watch with a composite score of 54/100 , based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement. Last updated October 10, 2026.

What Would Change This View

Upgrade to Buy
Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +5.64 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
Downgrade to Reduce
Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.36 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.

Executive Summary

The committee is genuinely divided. Macro Analyst sees a compelling case. Portfolio Manager remains cautious — sector concentration is already high (hhi 2796.97). This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.

Bull & Bear Case

Bull Case
  • P/E of 11.0 is inexpensive for the broad market — Value
  • ROE of 27.4% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
  • EPS growing 85.7% YoY — Growth
  • 4 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
  • Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement — Technical
Bear Case
  • Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value — Value
  • Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level — Growth
  • Price structure making lower highs and lower lows — Technical
  • MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
  • Price structure (HH_HL) contradicts the downtrend -- mixed signals — Technical
  • Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)

AI Investment Committee

Committee Consensus As of October 10, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 79%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst bullish
62 / 100 · Moderate confidence
Classic value case: cheap on multiples with earnings power to back it up
+ P/E of 11.0 is inexpensive for the broad market
− Price-to-book of 4.8x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst bullish
60 / 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ EPS growing 85.7% YoY
− Growth rate is decelerating quarter over quarter -- the trend line matters more than the level
Technical Analyst neutral
47 / 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ Weekly trend (downtrend) confirms the daily trend -- multi-timeframe agreement
− Price structure making lower highs and lower lows
Risk Analyst bearish
35 / 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 16.2% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst bullish
65 / 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst neutral
58 / 100 · Low confidence
News flow is mixed or quiet -- no strong signal either way right now
Portfolio Manager bearish
30 / 100 · Moderate confidence
The existing book itself argues for caution here, independent of how good this specific stock looks
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 2796.97)
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Investment Thesis Evolution

Committee score moved marginally from 54.4 to 54.4.

Analyst-level changes:
  • Risk Analyst: +1 bearish signal(s).
  • Value Analyst: +1 bullish signal(s).

Comparing 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-10 (1 day apart).

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.273
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Downtrend
Weekly: Downtrend
Market Structure
Hh Hl
Support
$99.25
Resistance
$147.26
Bollinger %B
0.41
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$119.87 Above
EMA 21
$123.14 Below
EMA 50
$125.84 Below
EMA 200
$140.15 Below

Fundamental Analysis

Valuation
59
Growth
71
Profitability
60
Financial Health
66
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio 11.3×
P/B Ratio 2.90×
PEG Ratio 9.25
Dividend Yield 1.41%
52W High $205.77
52W Low $98.86
Quality & Growth
ROE 2961.8%
ROA 1079.1%
Gross Margin 1742.2%
Operating Margin 1146.2%
Revenue Growth YoY —
Debt / Equity 1.24
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 11.3 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 2.9x; PEG ratio of 9.2 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 29.6%; Return on assets of 10.8%; Net margin of 7.9%; Gross margin of 17.4%; Current ratio of 1.63 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 1.24; Free cash flow per share is positive (17.17); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 9.9%; 4 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth decelerating (+13.4% -> +4.2% QoQ); Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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