MC · NYSE · STOCK
Moelis & Company
$66.60
52W $51.06 – $78.22
62/100
$4.93B
22.0
1.84
Is MC Bullish or Bearish?
Bullish.
Innellis AI committee rates Moelis & Company (MC) Buy with a composite score of 62/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 11, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Strong Buy
- Requires a committee score of 75.0 — +13.15 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Watch
- Requires the score to fall below 55.0 — -6.85 from today. The band boundary is 60.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is split. Analysts see this stock differently enough that the current rating reflects genuine uncertainty, not a weak signal.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- ROE of 43.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation — Value
- Dividend yield of 4.1% pays you to wait — Value
- Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock — Risk
- VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking — Macro
- Market regime is bullish (Bull market -- normal position sizing) — Macro
- Beta of 1.88 means this name should amplify a favorable market regime — Macro
Bear Case
- Price-to-book of 9.7x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum — Technical
- Current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 11, 2026
Overall Committee Score
62/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 59%
of 209 Financial Services peers
Value Analyst
neutral
59
/ 100 · High confidence
Fair value -- neither a bargain nor obviously overpriced
+ ROE of 43.5% shows genuine earnings power backing the valuation
− Price-to-book of 9.7x prices in significant intangible value
Growth Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
48
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
− MACD histogram negative -- bearish momentum
Risk Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Moderate risk -- no single red flag, but nothing that clearly de-risks the position either
+ Low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.00) -- balance sheet can absorb a shock
− Current ratio of 0.88 is tight -- limited short-term liquidity cushion
Macro Analyst
bullish
78
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
+ VIX regime is low -- calm backdrop supports risk-taking
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 5 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
55
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− 2 existing position pair(s) are highly correlated already
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
48.4
Neutral
MACD Histogram
-0.234
Bearish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Mixed
Support
$61.38
Resistance
$70.81
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$66.79
Below
EMA 21
$67.03
Below
EMA 50
$66.73
Below
EMA 200
$66.23
Above
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
44
Profitability
93
Financial Health
100
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.0×
P/B Ratio
9.95×
PEG Ratio
1.80
Dividend Yield
3.90%
52W High
$78.22
52W Low
$51.06
Quality & Growth
ROE
4099.6%
ROA
1285.6%
Gross Margin
6991.4%
Operating Margin
1840.2%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.52
AI Fundamental Assessment
[reduced confidence: limited earnings history] P/E ratio of 22.0 (inexpensive relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 9.9x; PEG ratio of 1.8 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 41.0%; Return on assets of 12.9%; Net margin of 14.5%; Gross margin of 69.9%; Current ratio of 20.27 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.52; Free cash flow per share is positive (5.77); Earnings-history trend unavailable; growth based on TTM year-over-year only.
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