MCHP · NASDAQ · STOCK
Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Analysis
$76.09
52W $48.52 – $105.91
54/100
$41.31B
105.4
1.74
Is MCHP Bullish or Bearish?
Mixed.
Innellis AI committee rates Microchip Technology (MCHP) Watch with a composite score of 54/100
, based on 6 analysts with 50% agreement.
Last updated August 23, 2026.
What Would Change This View
- Upgrade to Buy
- Requires a committee score of 60.0 — +6.00 from today. Applies on the first day at or above the line; upgrades are never dampened.
- Downgrade to Reduce
- Requires the score to fall below 40.0 — -14.00 from today. The band boundary is 45.0, but a one-step downgrade must clear a further margin first. A score oscillating around the line should not change the rating every night.
Executive Summary
The committee is genuinely divided. Growth Analyst sees a compelling case — 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution. Value Analyst remains cautious — p/e of 89.8 is expensive by classic value standards. This disagreement is itself the signal — the setup is not clean in either direction.
Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution — Growth
- Quarter-over-quarter growth rate is ACCELERATING, not just positive — Growth
- MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum — Technical
- News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d) — News
Bear Case
- P/E of 89.8 is expensive by classic value standards — Value
- Price-to-book of 5.4x prices in significant intangible value — Value
- Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility — Risk
Both cases are generated from quantitative data signals, not qualitative or
forward-looking judgement. They summarise what the numbers say today.
Price History (6M)
AI Investment Committee
Committee Consensus
As of August 23, 2026
Overall Committee Score
54/100
Agreement
50%
Analysts
6
Conviction
Contested
Sector Rank
Top 77%
of 287 Technology peers
Value Analyst
bearish
25
/ 100 · Moderate confidence
Multiples don't clear a genuine value bar here, or cheapness looks justified by weak fundamentals
− P/E of 89.8 is expensive by classic value standards
Growth Analyst
bullish
77
/ 100 · High confidence
Strong, accelerating growth with consistent execution
+ 5 consecutive earnings beats -- consistent execution
Technical Analyst
neutral
58
/ 100 · High confidence
Mixed or range-bound price action
+ MACD histogram positive -- bullish momentum
Risk Analyst
bearish
35
/ 100 · Low confidence
Elevated risk from leverage, volatility, event exposure, or portfolio concentration -- size accordingly
− Bollinger bandwidth of 15.9% signals elevated volatility
Macro Analyst
bullish
65
/ 100 · Low confidence
Macro backdrop is supportive of risk assets generally, and this name's beta works in its favor
News Analyst
bullish
64
/ 100 · Low confidence
News flow and recent filings/analyst actions are net positive
+ News sentiment is positive (+0.20 across 33 articles, 14d)
Portfolio Manager
neutral
45
/ 100 · High confidence
Portfolio-level factors are mixed -- worth a deliberate sizing decision, not a default-size position
+ Portfolio position concentration is currently healthy
− Sector concentration is already high (HHI 3069.37)
Investment Thesis Evolution
Committee score moved marginally from 54.0 to 54.0.
Comparing 2026-08-22 to 2026-08-23 (1 day apart).
Technical Analysis
RSI (14)
41.2
Neutral
MACD Histogram
0.119
Bullish Momentum
Trend Direction
Sideways
Weekly: Uptrend
Market Structure
Lh Ll
Support
$73.16
Resistance
$77.19
Bollinger %B
0.37
Inside Bands
Price vs Moving Averages
EMA 9
$77.73
Below
EMA 21
$79.04
Below
EMA 50
$82.11
Below
EMA 200
$78.60
Below
Fundamental Analysis
Valuation
42
Growth
85
Profitability
43
Financial Health
88
Cash Flow
70
Valuation
P/E Ratio
105.4×
P/B Ratio
6.40×
PEG Ratio
0.12
Dividend Yield
2.39%
52W High
$105.91
52W Low
$48.52
Quality & Growth
ROE
314.4%
ROA
140.7%
Gross Margin
6019.4%
Operating Margin
1551.7%
Revenue Growth YoY
—
Debt / Equity
0.84
AI Fundamental Assessment
P/E ratio of 105.4 (rich relative to a 15-40x range); Price-to-book of 6.4x; PEG ratio of 0.1 (under 1.0 suggests growth is undervalued relative to price); Return on equity of 3.1%; Return on assets of 1.4%; Net margin of 8.8%; Gross margin of 60.2%; Current ratio of 1.92 (healthy short-term liquidity); Debt-to-equity of 0.84; Free cash flow per share is positive (2.05); Most recent quarter beat estimates by 7.4%; 5 consecutive earnings beats; EPS growth accelerating (+29.5% -> +33.3% QoQ); Average YoY EPS growth of 181.5%; Analyst estimates rising over recent quarters
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